example-format.md
Daily Trades — Issue Format
Structure
Each issue contains one trend item with three sections:
1. Trend Headline
A short, sharp paragraph that explains the trend. Written in the "smart friend" voice — confident, conversational, no jargon without context. This is the hook. The reader should finish it thinking "I didn't know that" or "I should be paying attention to this."
2. Who's in the Blast Radius
2-3 public companies connected to the trend. Each gets:
- Ticker and company name
- What they do (1 sentence)
- Why this trend touches them (1 sentence)
Purely informational. No stance — not "this is good for them" or "buy this." Just the connection. The reader decides what to do with it.
3. Close
1-2 sentences that tie back to the headline and land the FOMO/hindsight hook. Zooms out, hints at where the trend is heading, leaves the reader feeling like they're early. No predictions, no calls to action.
Example Issues
Issue 1 — AI Hardware Bottleneck
Everyone's betting on AI software. Meanwhile, DRAM prices are up 40% this year and the three companies that make it can't build fabs fast enough. The pick-and-shovel play is hiding in plain sight.
Who's in the blast radius:
- $MU — Micron Technology. One of three companies in the world that manufactures DRAM. They're the primary US-based supplier and are investing $150B in domestic fab expansion over the next decade.
- $SK — SK Hynix. South Korean chipmaker that produces roughly 50% of the world's HBM (high-bandwidth memory) — the specific DRAM type AI servers need. Nvidia's primary memory supplier.
- $ASML — ASML Holding. The Dutch company that builds the lithography machines every chipmaker needs to produce advanced memory. There is no alternative supplier. Every new fab means more ASML orders.
A year ago, "AI trade" meant buying Nvidia. The next leg of it is the supply chain underneath — the companies building the memory, the equipment, and the materials that make the chips possible. That story is just starting to get crowded.
Issue 2 — Brazil's Grip on Global Feed
China needs to feed 1.4 billion people and they're not growing enough grain to do it. Brazil just became their biggest supplier — 60% of China's soy imports now come from one country. That dependency reshapes global feed prices, and American ranchers are downstream of it.
Who's in the blast radius:
- $ADM — Archer-Daniels-Midland. One of the world's largest agricultural commodity traders. Moves grain, oilseeds, and feed ingredients across global supply chains — exactly the flows being rerouted by Brazil-China alignment.
- $BRFS — BRF S.A. Brazil's biggest processed food and poultry exporter. Directly benefits from Brazil's expanding agricultural dominance and has deep trade relationships with Chinese buyers.
- $TSN — Tyson Foods. Largest US meat processor. Feed costs are their single biggest input expense. When global soy flows shift, Tyson feels it in their margins before it hits grocery store prices.
Five years ago, US soy farmers had China as their biggest customer. That relationship has quietly unwound. The new trade routes are already set — most people just haven't updated their mental map yet.
Issue 3 — Europe Rearms
Europe outsourced its defense to the US for 30 years. That era ended. Germany alone committed $100B to rearmament. Rheinmetall's order backlog tripled. The continent is rearming at a pace we haven't seen since the Cold War — and it's just getting started.
Who's in the blast radius:
- $RHM — Rheinmetall AG. Germany's largest arms manufacturer. Produces armored vehicles, artillery, and ammunition — the exact categories European governments are racing to restock.
- $SAAB — Saab AB. Swedish defense company behind the Gripen fighter jet and naval combat systems. Already fielding new orders from Nordic and Eastern European buyers.
- $LMT — Lockheed Martin. The US incumbent. European rearmament means NATO interoperability demands, and Lockheed builds the systems (F-35, Patriot) that set the standard.
This rearmament cycle isn't a reaction to one crisis — it's a structural reset. European defense budgets are being rewritten for the first time in a generation. By the time this is consensus, the supply chains will already be locked in.
Issue 4 — The Sober Shift
Gen Z drinks 20% less alcohol than millennials did at their age. That's not a phase — it's a structural shift. The non-alc beverage market doubled in two years and the incumbents are scrambling to catch up.
Who's in the blast radius:
- $SAM — Boston Beer Company. Makers of Sam Adams and Truly hard seltzer. Already watching seltzer sales flatten — now investing in non-alc and "better-for-you" lines to stay relevant with younger drinkers.
- $MNST — Monster Beverage. Energy drinks are one of the categories absorbing alcohol's lost occasions. Monster dominates the segment and their growth skews young — exactly the demographic leaving alcohol behind.
- $DEO — Diageo. The world's largest spirits company (Johnnie Walker, Guinness, Smirnoff). Launched Seedlip and an entire non-alc portfolio, but spirits are still 90%+ of revenue. The longer the trend runs, the harder the pivot.
This isn't a wellness fad. The data goes back a decade and the curve is steepening. An entire generation is redefining what "going out" looks like — and the $1.7 trillion alcohol industry is built on the assumption they wouldn't.
Issue 5 — The Rare Earth Gap
China controls 90% of rare earth processing. The US just broke ground on its first domestic refinery in decades. It won't be online until 2027. That's three years of leverage Beijing still holds over every EV and fighter jet we build.
Who's in the blast radius:
- $MP — MP Materials. Operates the only active rare earth mine in the US (Mountain Pass, California). Building out downstream processing capacity to reduce dependence on shipping raw ore to China for refining.
- $LYC — Lynas Rare Earths. Australian miner and the largest rare earth producer outside of China. Building a processing facility in Texas under a US Department of Defense contract.
- $GM — General Motors. Rare earths go into the permanent magnets in EV motors. GM signed direct supply agreements with both MP Materials and Lynas — a sign of how seriously automakers are taking the supply risk.
Every trade war headline mentions semiconductors. Almost nobody talks about the materials underneath them. Rare earth supply diversification is a decade-long project, and right now, it's in year two.